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Virginia vs. Missouri prediction: Why Missouri is favored to win Gator Bowl [2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Virginia vs Missouri predictions for college football Saturday.

Virginia-Missouri Predictions and Game Preview.
Virginia vs. Missouri college football gameday prediction for Saturday, December 27, 2025.

Missouri and Virginia will clash in the 2025 Gator Bowl at EverBank Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Missouri as the most likely winner of the Virginia vs. Missouri game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Gator Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 Gator Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Missouri a 65% chance of beating Virginia. Our predicted final score has Missouri winning 26-21.

According to our model, Missouri (-4) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of staying under.

 

Gator Bowl odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Virginia Missouri
Spread +4 (-112) -4 (-105)
Moneyline +155 -184
Total o43.5 (-115) u43.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Virginia vs. Missouri picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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