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Vilius Gaubas vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Gaubas vs Auger-Aliassime predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Vilius Gaubas will square off with Felix Auger-Aliassime in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Felix Auger-Aliassime as the most likely winner of the Gaubas vs. Auger-Aliassime match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Gaubas vs. Auger-Aliassime prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Gaubas-Auger-Aliassime men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Auger-Aliassime a 76% chance of defeating Gaubas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Auger-Aliassime (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Vilius Gaubas vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Gaubas | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +300 | -350 |
| First Set | +220 | -278 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (+102) | -3.5 (-134) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (+100) | u22.5 (-126) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Gaubas vs. Auger-Aliassime picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gaubas | +300 |
| First Set | Auger-Aliassime | -126 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Vilius Gaubas to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Gaubas vs. Auger-Aliassime updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Vilius Gaubas and Felix Auger-Aliassime is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Vilius Gaubas vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Vilius Gaubas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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