Jazz vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [1/7/2026]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Utah Jazz in NBA action at Paycom Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Jazz will look to Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Brice Sensabaugh.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Jazz vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Jazz and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder a 91% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 128-112.

According to our model, the Jazz (+18.5) have a 63% chance of covering the spread, while the 242.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Jazz vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jazz	Thunder
Spread	+18.5 (-105)	-18.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+950	-1100
Total	o242.5 (-115)	u242.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jazz vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +18.5	-105
Moneyline	Thunder	-1100
Total	Under 242.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +18.5 at the spread.

Jazz vs. Thunder player props

Looking for Utah vs. Oklahoma City NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 33 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Jazz prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Lauri Markkanen	25	6	2	3	41
Keyonte George	22	4	6	3	42
B. Sensabaugh	11	3	1	2	22
Jusuf Nurkic	11	10	4	1	33
Ace Bailey	10	4	1	2	20

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	33	5	7	2	57
Jalen Williams	21	6	6	1	43
Chet Holmgren	19	9	2	1	39
Ajay Mitchell	14	3	4	1	29
Aaron Wiggins	12	4	2	2	25

Jazz vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Thunder and Jazz at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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