Tottenham vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/11/2026]

Tottenham and Leeds will meet in the Premier League at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Tottenham as the most likely winner of the Tottenham vs. Leeds game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tottenham vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Premier League match between Tottenham and Leeds, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 51.5% chance of Tottenham winning, a 24.6% chance for Leeds, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.

Tottenham vs. Leeds odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Tottenham	Leeds	Draw
-125	+360	+280

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-125	+100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tottenham vs. Leeds picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Leeds	+360
Total Goals	Over 2.5	-125

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tottenham vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOT 1-1 Leeds	11.3%
TOT 1-0 Leeds	10.2%
TOT 2-1 Leeds	9.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Tottenham vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details

Monday's Premier League matchup between Tottenham and Leeds at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tottenham vs. Leeds
• Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)

Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as excitement grows in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event generating plenty of World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Aaronson's Premier League form will be tracked closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tottenham has a 51.5% win probability on Monday, Leeds has a 24.6% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.