...
...
Read Article
Raptors vs. Pelicans prediction: Toronto favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will square off with the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Raptors and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Raptors a 59% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 118-115.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Raptors and Pelicans each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Raptors vs. Pelicans odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-106) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -140 | +120 |
| Total | o235.5 (-110) | u235.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors -2.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -140 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Pelicans player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Wednesday's Toronto vs. New Orleans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| RJ Barrett | 21 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 40 |
| Scottie Barnes | 20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| I. Quickley | 18 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 37 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 22 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 41 |
| Zion Williamson | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 39 |
| Saddiq Bey | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Dejounte Murray | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Raptors vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Pelicans and Raptors at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Wednesday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure