Raptors vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [3/5/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Toronto Raptors will lock horns in NBA action at Target Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley and Scottie Barnes.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Raptors vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Raptors and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Timberwolves a 63% chance of beating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 115-111.

According to our model, the Raptors (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Raptors vs. Timberwolves odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raptors	Timberwolves
Spread	+4.5 (-102)	-4.5 (-118)
Moneyline	+180	-210
Total	o226.5 (-108)	u226.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Raptors vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Raptors +4.5	-102
Moneyline	Raptors	+180
Total	Under 226.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors +4.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Raptors vs. Timberwolves player props

Looking for Toronto vs. Minnesota NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 30 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Raptors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brandon Ingram	23	6	4	2	41
I. Quickley	19	4	6	3	38
Scottie Barnes	19	8	5	1	44
RJ Barrett	18	6	4	2	36
Jakob Poeltl	11	8	3	0	29

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	30	5	4	3	49
Julius Randle	19	6	5	1	39
Jaden McDaniels	14	4	3	1	29
Ayo Dosunmu	12	2	3	1	24
D. DiVincenzo	12	4	4	3	29

Raptors vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Raptors at Target Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Thursday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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