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Raptors vs. Bulls prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Chicago Bulls will take on the favored Toronto Raptors in NBA action at United Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Bulls game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Bulls lineup will feature players like Collin Sexton, Anfernee Simons and Josh Giddey, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Bulls prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Raptors and Bulls 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Raptors a 72% chance of defeating the Bulls. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 118-112.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Raptors and Bulls each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Raptors vs. Bulls odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +195 |
| Total | o231.5 (-108) | u231.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -225 |
| Total | Under 231.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Bulls player props
Betting on Raptors vs. Bulls NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at United Center.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Collin Sexton is projected to have 17 points, 2 rebounds and 5 assists for the Bulls.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 41 |
| Scottie Barnes | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| RJ Barrett | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
| I. Quickley | 16 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Bulls prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Bulls:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton | 17 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| Anfernee Simons | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Josh Giddey | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 41 |
| Matas Buzelis | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Jaden Ivey | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
Raptors vs. Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Bulls and Raptors at United Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Chicago Bulls
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Bulls on Thursday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Bulls insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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