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Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction: New Jersey favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [3/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The New Jersey Devils and Toronto mapleleafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Prudential Center on Wednesday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Devils a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Maple Leafs.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Devils matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Devils 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Devils a 51% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.
According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Maple Leafs vs. Devils odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-245) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -122 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Devils picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs +1.5 | -245 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | +108 |
| Total | Under 6 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Maple Leafs vs. Devils player props
Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Devils?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Devils.
Our projections give Matthews a 40.0% chance of scoring a goal at Prudential Center, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 40.0% |
| William Nylander | 35.6% |
| John Tavares | 32.5% |
| Matthew Knies | 25.9% |
| Matias Maccelli | 17.0% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 31.9% |
| Timo Meier | 29.1% |
| Jack Hughes | 28.2% |
| Jesper Bratt | 27.0% |
| Dawson Mercer | 21.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8.4% |
| William Nylander | 7.2% |
| John Tavares | 6.8% |
| Matthew Knies | 5.1% |
| Matias Maccelli | 3.0% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 6.6% |
| Timo Meier | 5.7% |
| Jesper Bratt | 5.7% |
| Jack Hughes | 5.4% |
| Dawson Mercer | 4.4% |
Maple Leafs vs. Devils game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Devils and Maple Leafs at Prudential Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey Devils
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Prudential Center
Conclusion
We predict the Devils, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Devils insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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