Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction: New Jersey favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [3/4/2026]

The New Jersey Devils and Toronto mapleleafs will lock horns in the NHL at Prudential Center on Wednesday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Devils a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Maple Leafs.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Devils matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Devils 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Devils a 51% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Devils
Puck Line	+1.5 (-235)	-1.5 (+198)
Moneyline	+106	-125
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-235
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+106
Total	Under 6	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils player props

Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Devils?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Devils.

Our projections give Matthews a 40.0% chance of scoring a goal at Prudential Center, while the star is a 9.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	40.0%
William Nylander	37.3%
John Tavares	32.5%
Matthew Knies	26.3%
Matias Maccelli	17.2%

New Jersey Devils

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Nico Hischier	32.4%
Timo Meier	29.1%
Jack Hughes	28.1%
Jesper Bratt	26.9%
Dawson Mercer	20.6%

First goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.0%
William Nylander	7.7%
John Tavares	6.4%
Matthew Knies	5.0%
Matias Maccelli	3.3%

New Jersey Devils

Player	First Goal Probability
Nico Hischier	5.9%
Timo Meier	5.8%
Jack Hughes	5.5%
Jesper Bratt	5.3%
Dawson Mercer	4.1%

Maple Leafs vs. Devils game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Devils and Maple Leafs at Prudential Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey Devils
• Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Prudential Center

Conclusion

We predict the Devils, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Devils insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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