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Maple Leafs vs. Devils Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Devils NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Mar 5, 12AM Prudential Center
Mar 5, 12AM Prudential Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Devils | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Devils | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 04:59 Connor Brown shot blocked by Auston Matthews
OT1 03:14 Shot missed by Paul Cotter
OT1 02:40 Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 01:23 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 00:44 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
OT1 00:07 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 19:48 Shot missed by Arseny Gritsyuk
P3 19:35 Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 18:04 Max Domi shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
P3 16:36 Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Jonas Siegenthaler
P3 13:57 Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 13:40 Jack Hughes shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:23 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:37 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:00 Shot missed by Johnathan Kovacevic
P3 11:51 Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
P3 11:15 Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 10:56 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Luke Hughes
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
Shootout Goal scored by Jesper Bratt on Anthony Stolarz
Shootout attempt missed by William Nylander
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Connor Brown shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Paul Cotter
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
Takeaway by Timo Meier in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Arseny Gritsyuk
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
Cody Glass won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
Takeaway by Timo Meier in defensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jacob Markstrom
Luke Hughes credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonas Siegenthaler
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
Nico Hischier won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
SHOT
Jack Hughes shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
Cody Glass won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Johnathan Kovacevic
SHOT
Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Luke Hughes
SHOT
Shot missed by Luke Hughes
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nico Hischier won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Hughes
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Hughes in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Paul Cotter shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
SHOT
Shot missed by Luke Hughes
John Tavares won faceoff against Cody Glass in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Anthony Stolarz
Takeaway by Dawson Mercer in defensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
SHOT
Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Power play - Giveaway by Jack Hughes in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
Takeaway by Jesper Bratt in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dawson Mercer saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Nemec
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Timo Meier shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Dougie Hamilton
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Simon Nemec
SHOT
Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Anthony Stolarz
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
Jack Hughes won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Easton Cowan
2-1
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Max Domi won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jacob Markstrom
Shorthanded - Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Timo Meier
Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Simon Nemec in neutral zone
Cody Glass won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Power play - Jake McCabe shot blocked by Timo Meier
Power play - Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Connor Brown in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Devils
John Tavares won faceoff against Devils in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Nick Bjugstad shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Nico Hischier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
Nico Hischier won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Simon Nemec
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Hughes in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Timo Meier assisted by Nico Hischier and Dawson Mercer
1-1
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Arseny Gritsyuk
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Timo Meier
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Cody Glass
SHOT
Shot missed by Cody Glass
Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Simon Nemec
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Brenden Dillon
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jacob Markstrom
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 47 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 10 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 47 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 10 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Devils: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Devils
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Prudential Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Devils favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +110, Devils -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 49%
- Devils: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 49%, while the Devils have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Devils are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Prudential Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Devils predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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