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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins prediction: Boston favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Boston Bruins and Toronto mapleleafs will lock horns in the NHL at TD Garden on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Bruins as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Bruins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Bruins a 61% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.
According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-150) | -1.5 (+134) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -190 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs +1.5 | -150 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | +160 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins player props
Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Bruins?
According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Bruins.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 49.1% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is a 10.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | 41.5% |
| John Tavares | 37.8% |
| Matthew Knies | 33.5% |
| Benoit-Olivier Groulx | 23.3% |
| Matias Maccelli | 21.2% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 49.1% |
| Morgan Geekie | 35.6% |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 28.9% |
| Pavel Zacha | 26.1% |
| Fraser Minten | 22.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | 8.5% |
| John Tavares | 7.2% |
| Matthew Knies | 5.9% |
| Benoit-Olivier Groulx | 4.4% |
| Matias Maccelli | 3.7% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 10.5% |
| Morgan Geekie | 7.2% |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 4.9% |
| Pavel Zacha | 4.7% |
| Elias Lindholm | 4.3% |
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Bruins and Maple Leafs at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins
- Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Bruins, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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