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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins NHL game on March 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Maple Leafs
4
2
Mar 24, 11PM TD Garden
Bruins
Mar 24, 11PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 2 2 4
Bruins
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
BruinsBOS
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 2 2 4
Bruins
1 0 1 2
P3 19:46 Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander and John Tavares
P3 18:35 Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:28 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 16:36 Pavel Zacha shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 15:46 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 15:38 Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 13:36 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 12:09 Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 11:10 Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:35 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 06:19 Power play - Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju
P3 05:06 Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 02:35 Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 02:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 00:45 Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 18:07 Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 17:44 Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:46
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander and John Tavares
4-2
P3 19:38
Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P3 18:56
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P3 18:37
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 18:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:46
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Lukas Reichel in defensive zone
P3 17:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 16:36
SHOT
Pavel Zacha shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 16:12
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
P3 15:46
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 15:38
SHOT
Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 15:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 14:45
Matthew Knies won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P3 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 13:38
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P3 13:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 12:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 11:12
Max Domi won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
P3 11:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 10:06
John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
P3 09:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 09:15
Stoppage - Offside
P3 08:41
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
P3 08:08
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 08:08
Stoppage - Offside
P3 07:59
John Tavares won faceoff against Bruins in defensive zone
P3 07:35
Shorthanded - Simon Benoit credited with hit on David Pastrnak in defensive zone
P3 06:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju
P3 05:15
Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P3 05:06
SHOT
Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 03:38
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 03:03
Penalty to Nikita Zadorov 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 03:00
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P3 02:36
Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 02:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 02:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:54
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P2 18:27
David Pastrnak credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P2 18:08
Max Domi won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
P2 18:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 17:53
Penalty to Easton Cowan 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 17:53
Easton Cowan won faceoff against Bruins in offensive zone
P2 17:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 17:41
John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
P2 17:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
P2 16:42
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
P2 16:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 16:09
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 15:14
SHOT
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 14:42
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 14:23
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P2 14:18
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 14:13
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
P2 14:08
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 14:08
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 14:02
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P2 14:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 13:51
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Groulx
P2 12:40
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P2 12:37
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P2 12:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 11:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:19
Max Domi won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in defensive zone
P2 10:28
SHOT
Lukas Reichel shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 10:20
John Tavares won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P2 10:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 09:47
SHOT
Power play - Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by teammate
P2 09:12
Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P2 09:12
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lukas Reichel
P2 08:48
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 07:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P2 07:51
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Interference
P2 07:51
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 07:34
SHOT
Power play - Mark Kastelic shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 07:27
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P2 06:08
Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
P2 06:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:37
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P2 05:37
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Tanner Jeannot)
P2 05:28
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P2 04:36
SHOT
Power play - Elias Lindholm shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 04:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 03:55
Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P2 03:55
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:15
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P2 03:13
SHOT
Fraser Minten shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 02:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 02:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:12
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
P2 00:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P2 00:00
Fraser Minten won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:27
John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P1 19:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
P1 17:14
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P1 16:39
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P1 16:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 15:48
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Sean Kuraly
P1 15:26
Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
P1 14:48
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P1 14:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:29
John Tavares won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
P1 11:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
P1 10:57
Max Domi won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P1 10:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 10:48
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:59
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 09:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
P1 07:53
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 07:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 07:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:16
Shorthanded - Matthew Knies credited with hit on Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P1 06:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 05:35
Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 05:35
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 04:55
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P1 04:37
John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P1 04:07
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
P1 04:07
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 03:52
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 03:48
SHOT
Viktor Arvidsson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 02:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P1 02:03
Nikita Zadorov credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P1 01:46
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in defensive zone
P1 01:43
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P1 01:30
Elias Lindholm credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
P1 00:52
Giveaway by Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P1 00:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Bruins
35Shots on Goal20
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins16
22Hits16
8Shots Blocked6
12Giveaways28
Maple LeafsTOR
BruinsBOS
35Shots on Goal20
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins16
22Hits16
8Shots Blocked6
12Giveaways28

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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
  • Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bruins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +178, Bruins -179

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 39%
  • Bruins: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 39%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bruins are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at TD Garden on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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