Penguins vs. Canadiens prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 31, 2026

The Montreal Canadiens are favored to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins at Bell Centre on Saturday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Penguins vs. Canadiens prediction gives Montreal a 57.5% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 6.5 goals.

Penguins vs. Canadiens key predictions

• Canadiens win probability: 57.5%
• Penguins win probability: 42.5%
• Penguins +1.5 puck line: 64.0% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 52.1% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Penguins vs. Canadiens odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Penguins moneyline: +130 (BetRivers)
• Canadiens moneyline: 57¢ (Novig)
• Penguins +1.5: -185 (BetMGM)
• Canadiens -1.5: 35¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 51¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 49¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Penguins vs. Canadiens pick: Under 6.5 (49¢)

Our model makes the Canadiens the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 49¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 52.1%.

That's a 3.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Penguins vs. Canadiens goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Cole Caufield of the Canadiens leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 46.1%, followed by Pittsburgh's Rickard Rakell (29.2%). Caufield also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.7%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Cole Caufield (Canadiens): 46.1%
2. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 29.2%
3. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 29.1%
4. Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens): 27.3%
5. Evgeni Malkin (Penguins): 24.3%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Cole Caufield (Canadiens): 9.7%
2. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 5.5%
3. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 5.4%
4. Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens): 4.8%
5. Nicholas Robertson (Penguins): 4.4%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Penguins vs. Canadiens prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Penguins vs. Canadiens predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Penguins vs. Canadiens game details

• Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Montreal Canadiens
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Bell Centre

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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