Oilers vs. Islanders prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 31, 2026

The Edmonton Oilers are favored to beat the New York Islanders at UBS Arena on Saturday (2:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Oilers vs. Islanders prediction gives Edmonton a 54.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Oilers moneyline, too.

Oilers vs. Islanders key predictions

• Oilers win probability: 54.5%
• Islanders win probability: 45.5%
• Islanders +1.5 puck line: 67.0% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 54.8% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Oilers vs. Islanders odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Oilers moneyline: 54¢ (Novig)
• Islanders moneyline: +115 (BetRivers)
• Oilers -1.5: 33¢ (Novig)
• Islanders +1.5: -210 (BetMGM)
• Over 6.5 goals: +120 (bet365)
• Under 6.5 goals: 55¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Oilers vs. Islanders pick: Oilers moneyline (54¢)

Our model makes the Oilers the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Oilers moneyline at 54¢ on Novig, too.

Those odds give the Oilers an implied win probability of 54.0%, while our model puts it at 54.5%.

That's a 0.5% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Oilers vs. Islanders goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Leon Draisaitl of the Oilers leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 45.5%, ahead of teammate Connor McDavid (42.6%). NY's most likely goal-scorer, Bo Horvat, is further back at 38.1%. McDavid and Draisaitl share the highest first goal-scorer probability at 9.3% each.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 45.5%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 42.6%
3. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 38.1%
4. Vasily Podkolzin (Oilers): 27.6%
5. Evan Bouchard (Oilers): 27.1%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 9.3%
2. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 9.3%
3. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 7.8%
4. Matthew Schaefer (Islanders): 5.2%
5. Evan Bouchard (Oilers): 4.8%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Oilers vs. Islanders prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Oilers vs. Islanders predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Oilers vs. Islanders game details

• Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Puck drop: 2:00 PM ET
• Venue: UBS Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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