Oilers vs. Rangers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 1, 2026

The New York Rangers are favored to beat the Edmonton Oilers at Madison Square Garden on Sunday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Oilers vs. Rangers prediction gives New York a 52.5% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 6.5 goals.

Oilers vs. Rangers key predictions

• Rangers win probability: 52.5%
• Oilers win probability: 47.4%
• Oilers +1.5 puck line: 68.2% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 51.7% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Oilers vs. Rangers odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Oilers moneyline: 46¢ (Novig)
• Rangers moneyline: -120 (BetRivers)
• Oilers +1.5: 68¢ (Novig)
• Rangers -1.5: 33¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 51¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Oilers vs. Rangers pick: Under 6.5 (50¢)

Our model makes the Rangers the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 50¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 49.5%, while our model puts it at 51.7%.

That's a 2.2% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Oilers vs. Rangers goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Leon Draisaitl of the Oilers leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Sunday's game at 45.5%, ahead of teammate Connor McDavid (41.0%). NY's most likely goal-scorer, Pavel Dorofeyev, is further back at 35.4%. Draisaitl also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.9%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 45.5%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 41.0%
3. Pavel Dorofeyev (Rangers): 35.4%
4. Alexis Lafreniere (Rangers): 33.1%
5. Mika Zibanejad (Rangers): 31.6%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 9.9%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 8.6%
3. Pavel Dorofeyev (Rangers): 7.0%
4. Alexis Lafreniere (Rangers): 5.8%
5. Mika Zibanejad (Rangers): 5.7%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Oilers vs. Rangers prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Oilers vs. Rangers predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Oilers vs. Rangers game details

• Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Puck drop: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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