Blue Jays vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/16/2026]

The Milwaukee Brewers will square off with the Toronto Blue Jays, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at American Family Field on Thursday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.

The Brewers will have Brandon Sproat (0-1, 10.45 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Blue Jays are going with Patrick Corbin (0-0, 9.00 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Blue Jays.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Blue Jays vs. Brewers matchup, including best bets and picks.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 54% chance of beating the Blue Jays.

According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers odds [4/16/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: