May 28, 2026
Astros vs. Rangers prediction: Why Texas is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/28/2026]
Read Article Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto bluejays will lock horns in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday, starting at 6:35 PM ET.
Chris Bassitt (4-3, 5.51 ERA) will be on the bump for the Orioles, pitting him against Patrick Corbin (2-1, 3.86 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Orioles a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Blue Jays.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Blue Jays vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Orioles a 54% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds [5/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-187) | -1.5 (+160) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -126 |
| Total | o8.5 (-115) | u8.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Orioles -1.5 | +160 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | +110 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Orioles and Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 6:35 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Thursday, May 28, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET/3:35PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Orioles, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
