Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Tommy Paul will take on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina match.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Paul-Davidovich Fokina men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Paul a 66% chance of beating Davidovich Fokina in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Paul has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Davidovich Fokina (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 36.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win the first set.

Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina updates and essential details

The 2026 Australian Open match between Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is scheduled to start on Thursday at 9:05 PM ET.

• Who: Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
• Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
• Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
• Round: Third round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Tommy Paul, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the 2026 Australian Open.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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