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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Tommy Paul prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tirante vs Paul predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Thiago Agustin Tirante and Tommy Paul are scheduled to meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Friday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Tirante vs. Paul match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tirante vs. Paul prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Tirante-Paul men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Paul a 62% chance of defeating Tirante at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Tommy Paul odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tirante | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +201 | -245 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-132) | -3.5 (-102) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-120) | u22.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tirante vs. Paul picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tirante | +201 |
| First Set | Paul | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Thiago Tirante to win.
Although Tirante is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tirante vs. Paul updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Tommy Paul is scheduled to start on Friday at 11:15 AM ET.
- Who: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Tommy Paul
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:15 AM ET/8:15AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Thiago Tirante at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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