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Texas State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Southern Miss favored to win in college football Week 12, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Texas State vs Southern Miss predictions for college football Saturday.
Southern Miss will face Texas State in Week 12 college football action at M.M. Roberts Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model gives Southern Miss a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Texas State.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Texas State vs. Southern Miss matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Texas State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Texas State vs. Southern Miss 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Southern Miss a 54% chance of beating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Southern Miss winning 32-30.
According to our model, Texas State (+3.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 65.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Texas State vs. Southern Miss odds
We have sourced the best College Football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texas State | Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-115) | -3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -160 |
| Total | o65.5 (-108) | u65.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texas State vs. Southern Miss picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State +3.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Texas State | +136 |
| Total | Over 65.5 | -108 |
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas State +3.5 at the spread.
Texas State vs. Southern Miss game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's college football game between Southern Miss and Texas State at M.M. Roberts Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30PM ET.
- Who: Texas State vs. Southern Miss
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: M.M. Roberts Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict Southern Miss, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Texas State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas State vs. Southern Miss insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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