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Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win in college football Week 12, 2025

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Texas-El Paso vs Missouri State predictions for college football Saturday.

Texas-El Paso-Missouri State Predictions and Game Preview.
Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State college football gameday prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025.

Missouri State and Texas-El Paso will clash in Week 12 college football action at Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college football model projects Missouri State as the most likely winner of the Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Missouri State a 59% chance of defeating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 26-23.

According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+6.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

 

Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State odds

We have sourced the best College Football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Texas-El Paso Missouri State
Spread +6.5 (-105) -6.5 (-112)
Moneyline +210 -240
Total o48.5 (-110) u48.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Texas-El Paso +6.5 -105
Moneyline Texas-El Paso +210
Total Under 48.5 -110

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas-El Paso to win.

 

Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's college football game between Missouri State and Texas-El Paso at Robert W. Plaster Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00PM ET.

  • Who: Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State
  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
  • Venue: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Sports betting deal available for NCAAF Saturday

To make the most of Saturday's enormous day of sports, headlined by clashes like this one for college football Saturday, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that secures $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict Missouri State, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas-El Paso vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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