Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Thursday ft. Tauson vs. Tona [7/16/2026]
Get ATP & WTA predictions and picks for Thursday, July 16, 2026.
Today’s tennis picks for July 16, 2026 are here, with Clara Tauson vs. Miriana Tona among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s tennis schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest tennis odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of tennis picks today [7/16, updated 2:04AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 tennis bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 16, 2026.
2026 WTA Athens: Miriana Tona +7.5 games (-148)
- Edge: 14.5%
- Probability: 74.2%
- Matchup: Clara Tauson vs. Miriana Tona (1:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Miriana Tona +7.5 games at -148 odds in their matchup at 2026 WTA Athens. A 74.2% probability produces an edge of 14.5%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.
2026 WTA Athens: Miriana Tona vs. Clara Tauson Over 17.5 total games (-106)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Matchup: Clara Tauson vs. Miriana Tona (1:40PM ET)
At 2026 WTA Athens, Clara Tauson vs. Miriana Tona over 17.5 total games carries an 8.5% edge and a probability of 59.9% at -106 odds, according to our model.
2026 WTA Athens: Aliaksandra Sasnovich +3.5 games (+100)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Matchup: Tereza Valentova vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich (10:30AM ET)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich +3.5 games vs. Tereza Valentova at +100 odds shows a 6.8% edge, supported by a 56.8% probability in simulations of the 2026 WTA Athens match.
2026 WTA Athens: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Tereza Valentova over 20.5 total games (-115)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Matchup: Tereza Valentova vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich (10:30AM ET)
A 5.4% edge and 58.8% probability make Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Tereza Valentova over 20.5 total games a value play in the Tereza Valentova vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich matchup, per our model.
2026 WTA Athens: Aliaksandra Sasnovich ML (+196)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 38.9%
- Matchup: Tereza Valentova vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich (10:30AM ET)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich ML at +196 odds presents a 5.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 38.9%.
ATP Swiss Open: Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Bublik Under 25.5 total games (-118)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Matchup: Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys (9:00AM ET)
Our model finds value on Under 25.5 total games in Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys at -118 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 5.0%.
2026 WTA Athens: Carole Monnet vs. Barbora Krejcikova Over 17.5 total games (-120)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Matchup: Barbora Krejcikova vs. Carole Monnet (12:30PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Barbora Krejcikova vs. Carole Monnet Over 17.5 total games at -120 odds. A 59.5% probability produces a 4.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's 2026 WTA Athens tennis action.
2026 WTA Athens: Carole Monnet +6.5 (+100)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 54.9%
- Matchup: Barbora Krejcikova vs. Carole Monnet (12:30PM ET)
A 4.9% edge on a 54.9% probability makes Carole Monnet +6.5 at +100 odds a solid value play in this 2026 WTA Athens matchup.
ATP Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik -2.5 (-106)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys (9:00AM ET)
Our model projects value on Alexander Bublik -2.5 at -106 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making Alexander Bublik the favorable side in today's ATP Swiss Open matchup.
ATP Croatia Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli ML (+129)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 46.2%
- Matchup: Roman Burruchaga vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli (12:30PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Camilo Ugo Carabelli to defeat Roman Burruchaga at +129 odds shows a 46.2% probability and a 2.5% edge.
Tennis best bets summary: Thursday, 7/16/2026
As of 2:04AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tauson vs. Tona | Miriana Tona +7.5 games | -148 @ FanDuel | 14.5% | 74.2% |
| Tauson vs. Tona | Over 17.5 total games | -106 @ FanDuel | 8.5% | 59.9% |
| Valentova vs. Sasnovich | Aliaksandra Sasnovich +3.5 Games | +100 @ Caesars | 6.8% | 56.8% |
| Valentova vs. Sasnovich | Over 20.5 total games | -115 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 58.8% |
| Valentova vs. Sasnovich | Aliaksandra Sasnovich ML | +196 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 38.9% |
| Bublik vs. Halys | Under 25.5 Total Games | -118 @ FanDuel | 5.0% | 59.1% |
| Krejcikova vs. Monnet | Over 17.5 Total Games | -120 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 59.5% |
| Krejcikova vs. Monnet | Carole Monnet +6.5 Games | +100 @ Caesars | 4.9% | 54.9% |
| Bublik vs. Halys | Alexander Bublik -2.5 Games | -106 @ FanDuel | 2.8% | 54.3% |
| Burruchaga vs. Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ML | +129 @ DraftKings | 2.5% | 46.2% |
List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now
- ATP Gstaad: Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Juan Cerundolo (4:30AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Bastad: Thiago Tirante vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
- WTA Iasi: Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz (6:00AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Gstaad: Casper Ruud vs. Jaime Faria (6:00AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Bastad: Andrea Pellegrino vs. Andrey Rublev (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
- WTA Iasi: Elena Pridankina vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (7:10AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Bastad: Lautaro Midon vs. Alejandro Tabilo (7:20AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Bastad: Sebastian Baez vs. Jesper De Jong (8:30AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Gstaad: Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Bublik (9:00AM ET, Thursday)
- ATP Umag: Titouan Droguet vs. Daniel Merida (10:00AM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for July 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Miriana Tona +7.5 games vs. Clara Tauson and over 17.5 total games also in the Clara Tauson vs. Miriana Tona matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
