Andrey Rublev vs. Andrea Pellegrino prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swedish Open 2026
Get Rublev vs Pellegrino predictions for ATP Swedish Open.
Andrey Rublev will face Andrea Pellegrino in the round of 16 at the ATP Bastad event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Andrey Rublev as the most likely winner of the Rublev vs. Pellegrino match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Rublev vs. Pellegrino prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Our independent predictive model gives Rublev an 83% chance of defeating Pellegrino at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Andrey Rublev vs. Andrea Pellegrino odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rublev | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -588 | +430 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-120) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-112) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rublev vs. Pellegrino picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pellegrino | +430 |
| First Set | Pellegrino | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rublev vs. Pellegrino updates and essential details
The ATP Swedish Open match between Andrey Rublev and Andrea Pellegrino is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Andrey Rublev vs. Andrea Pellegrino
- Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Bastad, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Andrey Rublev, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Andrea Pellegrino at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
