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Tennessee vs. Illinois prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win Music City Bowl [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Tennessee vs Illinois predictions for college football Tuesday.
Illinois and Tennessee will clash in the 2025 Music City Bowl at Nissan Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 5:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college football model gives Tennessee a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Illinois.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's Tennessee vs. Illinois matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Music City Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of the 2025 Music City Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Tennessee a 52% chance of beating Illinois. Our predicted final score has Tennessee winning 30-29.
According to our model, Illinois (+3) has a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 61.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
Music City Bowl odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tennessee | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-115) | +3 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -158 | +136 |
| Total | o61.5 (-110) | u61.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tennessee vs. Illinois picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois +3 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Illinois | +136 |
| Total | Over 61.5 | -110 |
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois +3 at the spread.
Tennessee vs. Illinois game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's college football matchup between Illinois and Tennessee at Nissan Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM ET.
- Who: Tennessee vs. Illinois
- Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Time: 5:30 PM ET/2:30PM PT
- Venue: Nissan Stadium
Conclusion
We predict Tennessee, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Illinois on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tennessee vs. Illinois insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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