...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Lightning vs. Wild prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Minnesota Wild and Tampa Bay Lightning will meet in the NHL at Grand Casino Arena on Tuesday, with puck drop at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Lightning vs. Wild game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Lightning vs. Wild prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Wild 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 55% chance of beating the Wild.
According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lightning vs. Wild odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+185) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +122 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lightning vs. Wild picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Wild +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Wild | +122 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wild +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lightning vs. Wild player props
Who will score a goal in Lightning vs. Wild?
According to our model, Brayden Point is most likely to score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Wild.
Our projections give Point a 46.6% chance of scoring a goal at Grand Casino Arena, while the star is a 10.5% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 46.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 41.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 40.7% |
| Brandon Hagel | 33.5% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 19.9% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 43.0% |
| Matt Boldy | 35.2% |
| Joel Ek | 25.0% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 21.2% |
| Danila Yurov | 21.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 10.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.4% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.2% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 3.4% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 9.2% |
| Matt Boldy | 6.9% |
| Joel Ek | 4.4% |
| Danila Yurov | 3.7% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 3.4% |
Lightning vs. Wild game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Wild and Lightning at Grand Casino Arena is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Wild insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure