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Lightning vs. Wild Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Wild NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
5
Mar 4, 2:30AM Grand Casino Arena
Mar 4, 2:30AM Grand Casino Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Wild | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Wild | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:57 Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 18:47 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 17:35 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 16:53 Shot on goal by Scott Sabourin saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 16:38 Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P3 16:14 Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 12:20 Shot missed by Brock Faber
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:25 Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P3 09:32 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
P3 09:30 Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 07:29 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 06:35 Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:43 Shot on goal by Conor Geekie saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 04:50 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 04:29 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:57 Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:37 Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Jake Middleton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Sabourin saved by Filip Gustavsson
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Faber
SHOT
Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Lightning won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Danila Yurov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Jake Middleton
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Vincent Hinostroza in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Geekie saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jake Middleton
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
Brayden Point won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
SHOT
Power play - Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Lightning won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Filip Gustavsson
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Brayden Point won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Yakov Trenin assisted by Mats Zuccarello
1-3
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Robby Fabbri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonas Brodin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Robby Fabbri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Mats Zuccarello shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Power play - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Power play - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Lightning won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Faber saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Filip Gustavsson
End of 1st Period.
Brayden Point won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Geekie saved by Filip Gustavsson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Wild in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
Penalty to Jonas Brodin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Middleton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Filip Gustavsson
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Jared Spurgeon shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Robby Fabbri
Stoppage - Icing
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Filip Gustavsson
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Danila Yurov won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brock Faber assisted by Marcus Johansson and Matt Boldy
0-1
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Mats Zuccarello won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Filip Gustavsson
Stoppage - Icing
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Brock Faber in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 20 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 25 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 20 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 25 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Lightning vs. Wild: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Wild
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -140, Wild +122
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 55%
- Wild: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 55%, while the Wild have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Grand Casino Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Wild predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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