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Sunderland vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Sunderland vs Leeds predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Sunderland and Leeds are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Stadium of Light on Sunday, starting at 9:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Sunderland as the most likely winner of the Sunderland vs. Leeds game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Sunderland vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Leeds 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 36.9% chance of Sunderland winning, a 33.1% chance for Leeds, and a 30.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 65% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Sunderland vs. Leeds odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sunderland | Leeds | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +190 | +160 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +136 | -168 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sunderland vs. Leeds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland | +190 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -168 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Sunderland vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sunderland 1-1 Leeds | 13.5% |
| Sunderland 1-0 Leeds | 13.3% |
| Sunderland 0-1 Leeds | 12.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 57.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Sunderland vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Sunderland and Leeds at Stadium of Light is scheduled to begin in the USA at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Sunderland vs. Leeds
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: Stadium of Light
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is one to watch for USMNT fans as anticipation builds as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Aaronson's form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 36.9% win probability on Sunday, Leeds has a 33.1% win probability, and there is a 30.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sunderland vs. Leeds insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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