Sunderland vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Leeds Premier League match on December 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
1
:
1
Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Stadium of Light
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
LeedsLU
S. Adingra (28')
Soccer ball icon
D. Calvert-Lewin (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sunderland
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: R. Mundle replaces S. Adingra
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
  3. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces N. Okafor
  4. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces B. Brobbey
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: E. Mayenda replaces C. Rigg
  6. 61'
    Yellow Card
    T. Hume (Sunderland) cautioned
  7. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin, assisted by B. Aaronson
    1-1
  8. 31'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces J. Rodon
  9. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by S. Adingra, assisted by G. Xhaka
    0-1

Sunderland vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Leeds
  • Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sunderland +185, Leeds +165, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sunderland: 36.9%
  • Leeds: 33.1%
  • Draw: 30.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds (13.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sunderland vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Sunderland is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.9%.

The most likely correct score is Sunderland 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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