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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on December 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
1
Dec 27, 12:30 PM ET Stamford Bridge
Dec 27, 12:30 PM ET Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
Joao Pedro (37')
O. Watkins (63')
O. Watkins (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Chelsea
- Aston Villa
Win Probability
Match Timeline
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
2-1
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces B. Kamara
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: Estevao replaces C. Palmer
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
L. Delap (Chelsea) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces M. Cucurella
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces Joao Pedro
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Gittens replaces A. Garnacho
T. Chalobah (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins
1-1
Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Watkins replaces E. Buendia
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces D. Malen
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Onana replaces J. McGinn
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
R. James (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by R. James
0-1
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea -127, Aston Villa +360, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+116)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Chelsea: 55.3%
- Aston Villa: 22.1%
- Draw: 22.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Chelsea 1-1 Aston Villa (10.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Chelsea vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score
Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.3%.
The most likely correct score is Chelsea 1-1 Aston Villa.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chelsea vs. Aston Villa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
