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Stan Wawrinka vs. Taylor Fritz prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Wawrinka vs Fritz predictions for 2026 Australian Open.
Stan Wawrinka and Taylor Fritz will lock horns in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Taylor Fritz as the most likely winner of the Wawrinka vs. Fritz match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Wawrinka vs. Fritz prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Wawrinka-Fritz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Fritz an 88% chance of defeating Wawrinka in the 2026 Australian Open.
Additionally, Fritz has an 80% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fritz (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 34.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Stan Wawrinka vs. Taylor Fritz odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wawrinka | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +810 | -1020 |
| First Set | +333 | -455 |
| Game Spread | +6.5 (+102) | -6.5 (-134) |
| Total Games | o34.5 (-115) | u34.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wawrinka vs. Fritz picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wawrinka | +810 |
| First Set | Fritz | -125 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Stan Wawrinka to win the first set.
Wawrinka vs. Fritz updates and essential details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Stan Wawrinka and Taylor Fritz is scheduled to start on Saturday at 1:00 AM ET.
- Who: Stan Wawrinka vs. Taylor Fritz
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00 AM ET/10:00PM PT
- Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Taylor Fritz, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the 2026 Australian Open.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wawrinka vs. Fritz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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