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Cardinals vs. Astros prediction: Houston favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [4/18/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros predictions for MLB Saturday.

St. Louis Cardinals-Houston Astros Predictions and Game Preview.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros MLB prediction for Saturday, April 18, 2026.

The Houston Astros will square off with the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB action at Daikin Park on Saturday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.

Lance McCullers (1-0, 5.87 ERA) will start for the Astros, while the Cardinals have opted for Andre Pallante (1-1, 4.80 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Astros as the most likely winner of the Cardinals vs. Astros game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Cardinals vs. Astros prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Astros, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Astros a 57% chance of beating the Cardinals.

According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Cardinals vs. Astros odds [4/18/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cardinals Astros
Run Line +1.5 (-164) -1.5 (+140)
Moneyline +124 -145
Total o9 (-105) u9 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cardinals vs. Astros picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Astros -1.5 +140
Moneyline Cardinals +124
Total Over 9 -105

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cardinals vs. Astros game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's MLB game between the Astros and Cardinals at Daikin Park is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Saturday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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