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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons prediction: Rabbitohs favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 7 matchup [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons predictions for NRL Saturday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs will square off with the St George Illawarra Dragons in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Stadium Australia on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Rabbitohs as the most likely winner of the Dragons vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Dragons prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL matchup between the Dragons and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rabbitohs a 77% chance of beating the Dragons.
According to our model, the Dragons (+13.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
St George vs. Souths odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dragons | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +320 | -455 |
| Line (Spread) | +13.5 (-115) | -13.5 (-115) |
| Total | o51.5 (-118) | u51.5 (-109) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dragons vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dragons +13.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Dragons | bet_rivers_in+320 |
| Total | Under 51.5 | -109 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Dragons game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Rabbitohs and Dragons at Stadium Australia is scheduled to commence at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Rabbitohs, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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