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SMU vs. California prediction: Why Southern Methodist is favored to win in college football Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get SMU vs California predictions for college football Saturday.
California and Southern Methodist will clash in Week 14 college football action at California Memorial Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college football model predicts Southern Methodist as the most likely winner of the SMU vs. California game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
SMU vs. California prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of SMU vs. California 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Southern Methodist an 81% chance of beating California. Our predicted final score has Southern Methodist winning 32-19.
According to our model, Southern Methodist (-10.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 62% chance of going over.
SMU vs. California odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | SMU | California |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-102) | +10.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | -410 | +400 |
| Total | o47.5 (-115) | u47.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
SMU vs. California picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Southern Methodist -10.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Southern Methodist | -410 |
| Total | Over 47.5 | -115 |
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.
SMU vs. California game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's college football matchup between California and SMU at California Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Southern Methodist vs. California
- Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: California Memorial Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict Southern Methodist, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat California on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Southern Methodist vs. California insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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