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Southern California vs. TCU prediction: Why Southern California is favored to win Alamo Bowl [2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Southern California vs TCU predictions for college football Tuesday.

Southern California-TCU Predictions and Game Preview.
Southern California vs. TCU college football gameday prediction for Tuesday, December 30, 2025.

TCU and Southern California will clash in the 2025 Alamo Bowl at Alamodome on Tuesday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college football model projects Southern California as the most likely winner of the Southern California vs. TCU game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Alamo Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of the 2025 Alamo Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Southern California a 66% chance of defeating TCU. Our predicted final score has Southern California winning 29-23.

According to our model, Southern California (-6) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of going over.

 

Alamo Bowl odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Southern California TCU
Spread -6 (-112) +6 (-108)
Moneyline -225 +195
Total o55.5 (-106) u55.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Southern California vs. TCU picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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