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Simona Waltert vs. Hailey Baptiste prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Waltert vs Baptiste predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Simona Waltert will square off with Hailey Baptiste in the round of 64 at the WTA Rome event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Hailey Baptiste as the most likely winner of the Waltert vs. Baptiste match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Waltert vs. Baptiste prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Waltert-Baptiste women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Baptiste a 63% chance of defeating Waltert at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Baptiste has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baptiste (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Simona Waltert vs. Hailey Baptiste odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Waltert | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +175 | -225 |
| First Set | +150 | -189 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-106) | -3.5 (-128) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-133) | u20.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Waltert vs. Baptiste picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Waltert | +175 |
| First Set | Baptiste | -133 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Simona Waltert to win.
Although Waltert is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Waltert vs. Baptiste updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Simona Waltert and Hailey Baptiste is scheduled to start on Friday at 11:40 AM ET.
- Who: Simona Waltert vs. Hailey Baptiste
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:40 AM ET/8:40AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Hailey Baptiste, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Simona Waltert at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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