...
...
Read Article
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC predictions for MLS Wednesday.
San Jose will face Austin in MLS action at PayPal Park on Wednesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects San Jose as the most likely winner of the San Jose vs. Austin game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS game between San Jose and Austin, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 63.5% chance of San Jose winning, a 16.5% chance for Austin, and a 20.0% chance of a draw.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | San Jose | Austin | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -220 | +550 | +370 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Austin | +550 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 San Jose win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SJE 2-0 AUS | 10.1% |
| SJE 2-1 AUS | 9.9% |
| SJE 1-0 AUS | 9.5% |
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between San Jose and Austin in MLS at PayPal Park is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: PayPal Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, San Jose has a 63.5% win probability on Wednesday, Austin has a 16.5% win probability, and there is a 20.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure