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San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: Red Sox Predicted to Win According to Model for Friday's MLB Game [6/28/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: Red Sox Predicted to Win According to Model for Friday's MLB Game [6/28/2024]

The Boston Red Sox will square off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Fenway Park on Friday, commencing at 7:10PM ET.

Nick Pivetta (4-4, 4.06 ERA) will start on the mound for the Red Sox, pitting him against Randy Vásquez (2-4, 5.10 ERA) for the Padres.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Padres-Red Sox game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Red Sox' chance of winning is 56% , while the Padres' is 44%."

Padres vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Padres at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Padres vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Red Sox vs. Padres picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Padres and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 56% chance of defeating the Padres.

According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:32PM, Jun 28
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Padres
Win %
39%
61%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Padres SD
Win %
39%
61%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Randy Vásquez 2-4, 5.10 ERA
Nick Pivetta 4-4, 4.06 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Padres vs. Red Sox Odds [6/28/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Padres Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-148) -1.5 (+126)
Moneyline +136 -150
Total o9.5 (-102) u9.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Padres vs. Red Sox Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Padres vs. Red Sox matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Padres on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Padres vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the most recent MLB betting news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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