Get San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Playoffs Sunday.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA prediction for Game 4 of the series.
The Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs will meet in Game 4 of their NBA Playoffs series at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Spurs and Timberwolves, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 68% chance of defeating the Timberwolves in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 111-106.
According to our model, the Spurs (-4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 218.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Spurs
Timberwolves
Spread
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
Moneyline
-185
+168
Total
o218.5 (-107)
u218.5 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Spurs vs. Timberwolves matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 27 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 27 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Spurs and Timberwolves, reached the NBA Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Sunday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
