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Reilly Opelka vs. Tommy Paul prediction, odds, picks for ATP Adelaide International 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Opelka vs Paul predictions for ATP Adelaide International.
Reilly Opelka will square off with Tommy Paul in the round of 16 at the ATP Adelaide event on Tuesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Opelka vs. Paul match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Opelka vs. Paul prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Opelka-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Paul a 62% chance of defeating Opelka at the ATP Adelaide International tournament.
Additionally, Paul has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Paul (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Reilly Opelka vs. Tommy Paul odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Opelka | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +153 | -189 |
| First Set | +130 | -164 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-132) | +1.5 (+100) |
| Total Games | o25.5 (-112) | u25.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Opelka vs. Paul picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Opelka | +153 |
| First Set | Paul | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Reilly Opelka to win the first set.
Opelka vs. Paul updates and essential details
The ATP Adelaide International match between Reilly Opelka and Tommy Paul is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Reilly Opelka vs. Tommy Paul
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Adelaide, Australia Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Reilly Opelka at the ATP Adelaide International tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Opelka vs. Paul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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