Premier League betting tips: Saturday's picks include Fulham vs. Liverpool play [4/11/2026]

Liverpool ML (-150)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Matchup: Fulham vs. Liverpool (12:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Liverpool to defeat Fulham at -150 odds. A 64.8% probability produces an edge of 4.8%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Crystal Palace ML (+210)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 36.9%
• Matchup: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

Crystal Palace ML carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 36.9% at +210 odds, according to our model.

Aston Villa ML (+170)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 40.8%
• Matchup: Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

Aston Villa ML at +170 odds shows a 3.8% edge, supported by a 40.8% probability in simulations.

Tottenham ML (+170)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 39.9%
• Matchup: Tottenham vs. Sunderland (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

A 2.9% edge and 39.9% probability make Tottenham at the moneyline at a value play in the Tottenham vs. Sunderland matchup, per our model.

Everton ML (+240)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 31.5%
• Matchup: Everton vs. Brentford (10:00AM ET, Saturday)

Everton ML at +240 odds presents a 2.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 31.5%.

Premier League best bets summary: Saturday, 4/11/2026

As of 9:31AM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Fulham vs. Liverpool	Liverpool ML	-150 @ DraftKings	4.8%	64.8%
Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace	Crystal Palace ML	+210 @ DraftKings	4.7%	36.9%
Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest	Aston Villa ML	+170 @ DraftKings	3.8%	40.8%
Tottenham vs. Sunderland	Tottenham ML	+170 @ DraftKings	2.9%	39.9%
Everton vs. Brentford	Everton ML	+240 @ FanDuel	2.1%	31.5%

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [4/11/2026]

• Everton vs. Brentford (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Brighton vs. Burnley (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Fulham vs. Liverpool (12:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tottenham vs. Sunderland (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for April 11, 2026, featuring plays such as Liverpool ML and Crystal Palace ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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