Premier League betting tips: Saturday's picks include Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest play [1/17/2026]

Arsenal ML (-165)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Matchup: Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest (12:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Arsenal to defeat Nottingham Forest at -165 odds. A 68.8% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Crystal Palace ML (+210)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 35.2%
• Matchup: Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland (10:00AM ET, Saturday)

Crystal Palace ML carries a 3.0% edge and a probability of 35.2% at +210 odds, according to our model.

Chelsea ML (-115)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Brentford vs. Chelsea (10:00AM ET, Saturday)

Chelsea ML at -115 odds shows a 2.8% edge, supported by a 56.3% probability in simulations.

Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest over 2.5 goals (-105)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Matchup: Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest (12:30PM ET, Saturday)

A 2.6% edge and 53.8% probability make Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest over 2.5 goals at a value play in the Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest matchup, per our model.

Fulham ML (+260)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 30.2%
• Matchup: Fulham vs. Leeds (10:00AM ET, Saturday)

Fulham ML at +260 odds presents a 2.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 30.2%.

Premier League best bets summary: Saturday, 1/17/2026

As of 2:31AM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest	Arsenal ML	-165 @ BetMGM	6.6%	68.8%
Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland	Crystal Palace ML	+210 @ DraftKings	3.0%	35.2%
Brentford vs. Chelsea	Chelsea ML	-115 @ DraftKings	2.8%	56.3%
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest	Over 2.5 Goals	-105 @ FanDuel	2.6%	53.8%
Fulham vs. Leeds	Fulham ML	+260 @ FanDuel	2.5%	30.2%

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [1/17/2026]

• Manchester City vs. Manchester United (7:30AM ET, Saturday)
• Brentford vs. Chelsea (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Fulham vs. Leeds (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Burnley vs. Liverpool (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• West Ham vs. Tottenham (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest (12:30PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for January 17, 2026, featuring plays such as Arsenal ML and Crystal Palace ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Premier League insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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