Liverpool vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Liverpool vs. Burnley Premier League match on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Burnley
1
:
1
Anfield
Liverpool
Anfield
LiverpoolLFC
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
F. Wirtz (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Edwards (65')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Burnley
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces Florentino
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces M. Edwards
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Barnes (Burnley) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces C. Jones
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces L. Ugochukwu
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces C. Gakpo
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces R. Gravenberch
  9. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: H. Ekdal replaces M. Esteve
  11. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces A. Broja
  12. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by M. Edwards, assisted by Florentino
    1-1
  13. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by F. Wirtz, assisted by C. Jones
    0-1
  14. 40'
    Yellow Card
    M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
  15. 32'
    Penalty missed by D. Szoboszlai for Liverpool

Liverpool vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Liverpool vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Anfield

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool -375, Burnley +1300, draw +550

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Liverpool: 79.2%
  • Burnley: 7.1%
  • Draw: 13.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Liverpool 2-0 Burnley (12.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Liverpool vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 79.2%.

The most likely correct score is Liverpool 2-0 Burnley.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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