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Liverpool vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Liverpool vs. Burnley Premier League game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
1
:
1
Jan 17, 3PM Anfield
Liverpool
Jan 17, 3PM Anfield
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LiverpoolLFC
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
F. Wirtz (42')
M. Edwards (65')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces Florentino
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces M. Edwards
90'
Yellow Card
A. Barnes (Burnley) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces C. Jones
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces L. Ugochukwu
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces C. Gakpo
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces R. Gravenberch
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Ekdal replaces M. Esteve
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces A. Broja
65'
Goal scored for Burnley by M. Edwards, assisted by Florentino
1-1
42'
Goal scored for Liverpool by F. Wirtz, assisted by C. Jones
0-1
40'
Yellow Card
M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
32'
Penalty missed by D. Szoboszlai for Liverpool

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Liverpool vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Liverpool vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Anfield

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Liverpool -375, Burnley +1300, Draw +550

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Liverpool: 79.2%
  • Burnley: 7.1%
  • Draw: 13.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Liverpool 2-0 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Liverpool a win probability of 79.2%, while Burnley has a win probability of 7.1%. The chance of a draw is 13.7%.

Summary

Our Liverpool vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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