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Liverpool vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Liverpool vs. Burnley at the Premier League on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Burnley
1
:
1
Jan 17, 3PM Anfield
Liverpool
Jan 17, 3PM Anfield
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LiverpoolLFC
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
F. Wirtz (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Edwards (65')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces Florentino
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces M. Edwards
90'
Yellow Card
A. Barnes (Burnley) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces C. Jones
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces L. Ugochukwu
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces C. Gakpo
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces R. Gravenberch
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Ekdal replaces M. Esteve
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces A. Broja
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by M. Edwards, assisted by Florentino
1-1
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by F. Wirtz, assisted by C. Jones
0-1
40'
Yellow Card
M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
32'
Penalty missed by D. Szoboszlai for Liverpool

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Liverpool vs. Burnley: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Liverpool vs. Burnley prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Liverpool vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Anfield
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool -375, Burnley +1300, draw +550

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Liverpool: 79.2%
  • Burnley: 7.1%
  • Draw: 13.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Liverpool 2-0 Burnley, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 79.2% probability, while Burnley sits at 7.1%, with the draw at 13.7%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Liverpool vs. Burnley prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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