Tottenham vs. Aston Villa prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/19/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Tottenham and Aston Villa, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 50.0% chance of Tottenham winning, a 25.8% chance for Aston Villa, and a 24.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.6% chance of going over., with a 55.4% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Aston Villa +285, Tottenham +108
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-111/+117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tottenham @ +108 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -111 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tottenham to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Tottenham 1-1 Aston Villa (11.4% probability)
• Tottenham 1-0 Aston Villa (10%)
• Tottenham 2-1 Aston Villa (9.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League game between Tottenham and Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is scheduled to start in the United States at 7:30 AM ET.

• Who: Tottenham vs. Aston Villa
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tottenham has a 50.0% win probability on Saturday, Aston Villa has a 25.8% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.