Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/12/2026]

Aston Villa will take on Nottingham Forest in Premier League action at Villa Park on Saturday, beginning at 10:00 AM ET.

Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Aston Villa as the most likely winner in this Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 47.9% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 27.2% chance for Nottingham Forest, and a 24.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.6% chance of going over., with a 54.3% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nottingham Forest +245, Aston Villa +130
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Aston Villa @ +130 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -102 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Aston Villa 1-1 Nottingham Forest (11.8% probability)
• Aston Villa 1-0 Nottingham Forest (10.3%)
• Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest (9.4%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League action between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest at Villa Park is scheduled to begin in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.

• Who: Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Venue: Villa Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 47.9% win probability on Saturday, Nottingham Forest has a 27.2% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.