Sunderland vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/12/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Arsenal, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 13.3% chance of Sunderland winning, a 65.1% chance for Arsenal, and a 21.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.9% chance of staying under., with a 57.6% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Arsenal -199, Sunderland +733
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+113/-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sunderland @ +733 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +113 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sunderland to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:

• Sunderland 0-1 Arsenal (14.4% probability)
• Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (13.4%)
• Sunderland 1-1 Arsenal (10.1%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 57.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League action between Sunderland and Arsenal at Stadium of Light is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sunderland vs. Arsenal
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Stadium of Light

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 13.3% win probability on Saturday, Arsenal has a 65.1% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.