Sunderland vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/12/2026]

Sunderland will take on Arsenal in Premier League action at Stadium of Light on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Arsenal as the most likely winner in this Sunderland vs. Arsenal prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.

Sunderland vs. Arsenal prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Arsenal, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 14.7% chance of Sunderland winning, a 63.0% chance for Arsenal, and a 22.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.3% chance of staying under., with a 56.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Arsenal -156, Sunderland +614
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-127)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Arsenal @ -156 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +125 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:

• Sunderland 0-1 Arsenal (14.2% probability)
• Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (12.9%)
• Sunderland 1-1 Arsenal (10.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.5% chance of both Sunderland and Arsenal finding the net and a 56.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League game between Sunderland and Arsenal at Stadium of Light is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sunderland vs. Arsenal
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Stadium of Light

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 14.7% win probability on Saturday, Arsenal has a 63.0% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.