Leeds vs. Crystal Palace prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/20/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Leeds and Crystal Palace, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 52.9% chance of Leeds winning, a 23.6% chance for Crystal Palace, and a 23.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.4% chance of going over., with a 55.2% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Crystal Palace +400, Leeds +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-108/+120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Leeds @ +104 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -108 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Leeds 1-1 Crystal Palace (11.1% probability)
• Leeds 1-0 Crystal Palace (10.1%)
• Leeds 2-1 Crystal Palace (9.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League action between Leeds and Crystal Palace at Elland Road is scheduled to commence in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Leeds vs. Crystal Palace
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Venue: Elland Road

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Leeds has a 52.9% win probability on Sunday, Crystal Palace has a 23.6% win probability, and there is a 23.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.