Bournemouth vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/20/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Bournemouth and Liverpool, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 27.6% chance of Bournemouth winning, a 50.7% chance for Liverpool, and a 21.7% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 66.7% chance of going over., with a 65.9% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Liverpool +122, Bournemouth +223
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+178)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Liverpool @ +122 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -190 via Novig

According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Bournemouth 1-1 Liverpool (9.3% probability)
• Bournemouth 1-2 Liverpool (9.2%)
• Bournemouth 2-2 Liverpool (6.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 65.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 34.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League game between Bournemouth and Liverpool at Vitality Stadium is scheduled to commence in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Bournemouth vs. Liverpool
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Venue: Vitality Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Bournemouth has a 27.6% win probability on Sunday, Liverpool has a 50.7% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.