Premier League betting tips: Sunday's picks include Liverpool vs. Bournemouth play [9/20/2026]

Liverpool ML (+135)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Matchup: Liverpool vs. Bournemouth (9:00AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Liverpool to defeat Bournemouth at 43¢ odds. A 48.3% probability produces an edge of 5.8%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Crystal Palace ML (+426)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 23.7%
• Matchup: Crystal Palace vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET)

Crystal Palace ML carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 23.7% at 19¢ odds, according to our model.

Fulham ML (+270)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 31.1%
• Matchup: Manchester United vs. Fulham (11:30AM ET)

Fulham ML at +270 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 31.1% probability in simulations.

Crystal Palace vs. Leeds over 2.5 goals (-108)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Crystal Palace vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET)

A 3.3% edge and 55.2% probability make Crystal Palace vs. Leeds over 2.5 goals a value play in the Crystal Palace vs. Leeds matchup, per our model.

Sunderland vs. Manchester City Under 2.5 goals (+156)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 42.2%
• Matchup: Sunderland vs. Manchester City (9:00AM ET)

Sunderland vs. Manchester City Under 2.5 goals at 39¢ presents a 3.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 42.2%.

Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Over 2.5 goals (-163)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 64.7%
• Matchup: Liverpool vs. Bournemouth (9:00AM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs. Bournemouth at 62¢, supported by an edge of 2.7%.

Manchester United vs. Fulham Under 2.5 goals (+163)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 40.1%
• Matchup: Manchester United vs. Fulham (11:30AM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Manchester United vs. Fulham Under 2.5 goals at 38¢. A 40.1% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's Premier League action.

Premier League best bets summary: Sunday, 9/20/2026

As of 8:33AM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [9/20/2026]

• Liverpool vs. Bournemouth (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Crystal Palace vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Sunderland vs. Manchester City (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Manchester United vs. Fulham (11:30AM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for September 20, 2026, featuring plays such as Liverpool ML vs. Bournemouth and Crystal Palace ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.