Brighton vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/19/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Brighton and Arsenal, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 19.3% chance of Brighton winning, a 58.8% chance for Arsenal, and a 21.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56.1% chance of going over., with a 54.2% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Arsenal -127, Brighton +413
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-113/+122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Arsenal @ -127 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -113 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:

• Brighton 0-1 Arsenal (10.3% probability)
• Brighton 1-1 Arsenal (10.3%)
• Brighton 0-2 Arsenal (9.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.2% chance of both Brighton and Arsenal finding the net and a 45.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League action between Brighton and Arsenal at Amex Stadium is scheduled to begin in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.

• Who: Brighton vs. Arsenal
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Venue: Amex Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Brighton has a 19.3% win probability on Saturday, Arsenal has a 58.8% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.