Pirates vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [3/28/2026]

MLB action continues on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates square off with the New York Mets at Citi Field.

The Mets will send David Peterson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound, up against Mitch Keller (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Pirates.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' precision-tuned MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner of the Pirates vs. Mets game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Pirates vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Pirates and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 61% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 51% chance of going over.

Pirates vs. Mets odds [3/28/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Mets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: