Jun 4, 2026
NHL Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include William Karlsson [6/4/2026]
Read Article Penguins vs. Islanders prediction: Islanders favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs NY Islanders predictions for NHL Monday.
The NY Islanders will face the Pittsburgh Penguins, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at UBS Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Islanders a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Penguins.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Penguins vs. Islanders matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Penguins and Islanders, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Islanders a 53% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Penguins vs. Islanders odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-205) | -1.5 (+185) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -130 |
| Total | o6 (-130) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Islanders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -205 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +110 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Penguins vs. Islanders player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Horvat a 35.2% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.1% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 32.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 30.9% |
| Anthony Mantha | 27.0% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 26.2% |
| Sidney Crosby | 25.4% |
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 35.2% |
| Anders Lee | 31.0% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 25.0% |
| Mathew Barzal | 23.9% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 21.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 6.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 5.9% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.0% |
| Sidney Crosby | 4.9% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 4.9% |
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 7.1% |
| Anders Lee | 6.4% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.7% |
| Mathew Barzal | 4.6% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.1% |
Penguins vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Islanders and Penguins at UBS Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure
