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Penguins vs. Islanders prediction: Islanders favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs NY Islanders predictions for NHL Monday.
The NY Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins are scheduled to meet in the NHL at UBS Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Islanders a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Penguins.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Penguins vs. Islanders matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Isles prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Penguins and Islanders, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Islanders a 53% chance of beating the Penguins.
According to our model, the 6-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Penguins vs. Islanders odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +110 | -130 |
| Total | o6 (-130) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Islanders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Penguins | +110 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Penguins vs. Islanders player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Horvat a 35.9% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 34.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 33.0% |
| Anthony Mantha | 27.2% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 26.4% |
| Sidney Crosby | 25.5% |
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 35.9% |
| Anders Lee | 32.4% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 25.7% |
| Mathew Barzal | 22.7% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 22.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 7.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.7% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.1% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 5.1% |
| Sidney Crosby | 4.8% |
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 7.0% |
| Anders Lee | 6.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.2% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.1% |
| Mathew Barzal | 3.8% |
Penguins vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Islanders and Penguins at UBS Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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